Monday, September 01, 2014

Strong to severe thunderstorms expected today for Joplin area

(From the National Weather Service)

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-021515-
BOURBON-CRAWFORD-CHEROKEE-BENTON-MORGAN-MILLER-MARIES-VERNON-
ST. CLAIR-HICKORY-CAMDEN-PULASKI-PHELPS-BARTON-CEDAR-POLK-DALLAS-
LACLEDE-TEXAS-DENT-JASPER-DADE-GREENE-WEBSTER-WRIGHT-NEWTON-
LAWRENCE-CHRISTIAN-DOUGLAS-HOWELL-SHANNON-MCDONALD-BARRY-STONE-
TANEY-OZARK-OREGON-
1010 AM CDT MON SEP 1 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE MISSOURI
OZARKS AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

WEATHER HAZARDS EXPECTED...

  LIMITED TORNADO RISK.
  ELEVATED HAIL RISK.
  ELEVATED THUNDERSTORM WIND DAMAGE RISK.
  LIMITED FLOODING RISK.
  SIGNIFICANT LIGHTNING RISK.
  LIMITED EXCESSIVE HEAT RISK.

DISCUSSION...

  A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL LINGER THIS MORNING WITH THE
  POSSIBILITY OF LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING.

  ANOTHER ROUND OF STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP
  LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING HOURS ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN
  KANSAS INTO SOUTHWESTERN AND CENTRAL MISSOURI. INITIALLY A FEW
  SUPERCELLS MAY DEVELOP BEFORE TRANSITIONING INTO A LINE OF
  STORMS LATE THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.

  THE MAIN THREAT WITH THESE STORMS WILL BE DAMAGING WIND GUSTS
  UP TO 70 MPH...LARGE HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF GOLF BALLS...
  FREQUENT LIGHTNING...AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL. THERE WILL BE
  A VERY LIMITED THREAT OF AN ISOLATED TORNADO OR TWO ACROSS
  SOUTHEASTERN KANSAS AND SOUTHWESTERN MISSOURI DURING THE EARLY
  EVENING HOURS.

  WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF TRAINING OF STORMS AND HEAVY RAINFALL
  RATES...THERE WILL BE A LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING THREAT LATER
  TODAY AND TONIGHT.

  HEAT INDEX VALUES MAY APPROACH THE MIDDLE TO UPPER 90S THIS
  AFTERNOON.

  IF YOU HAVE OUTDOOR PLANS ON THIS LABOR DAY...MONITOR WEATHER
  CONDITIONS CLOSELY AND BE PREPARED TO SEEK SAFE SHELTER WHEN
  STORMS APPROACH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

  A SLOW MOVING FRONT WILL BRING A GOOD CHANCE FOR PERIODIC
  THUNDERSTORMS TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

  AREAS OF HEAVY RAINFALL WITH A RISK FOR LOCALIZED FLASH
  FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE TUESDAY.

  AFTERNOON HEAT INDEX VALUES IN THE MID 90S WILL BE POSSIBLE ON
  A DAILY AFTERNOON BASIS WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

  ANOTHER FRONT WILL BRING A CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS FRIDAY AND
  SATURDAY.

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