Saturday, May 16, 2015

Thunderstorms possible tonight, severe storms Sunday in Joplin area

(From the National Weather Service)

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-180015-
BOURBON-CRAWFORD-CHEROKEE-BENTON-MORGAN-MILLER-MARIES-VERNON-
ST. CLAIR-HICKORY-CAMDEN-PULASKI-PHELPS-BARTON-CEDAR-POLK-DALLAS-
LACLEDE-TEXAS-DENT-JASPER-DADE-GREENE-WEBSTER-WRIGHT-NEWTON-
LAWRENCE-CHRISTIAN-DOUGLAS-HOWELL-SHANNON-MCDONALD-BARRY-STONE-
TANEY-OZARK-OREGON-
703 PM CDT SAT MAY 16 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE MISSOURI
OZARKS AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

WEATHER HAZARDS EXPECTED...

  LIMITED TORNADO RISK.
  ELEVATED HAIL RISK.
  ELEVATED THUNDERSTORM WIND DAMAGE RISK.
  ELEVATED FLOODING RISK.
  SIGNIFICANT LIGHTNING RISK.

DISCUSSION...

  THUNDERSTORMS CURRENTLY LOCATED ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS ARE
  EXPECTED TO FORM INTO A LINE AND MOVE TOWARD THE REGION LATE
  THIS EVENING INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. THE MAIN CONCERN WITH
  THESE STORMS WILL BE SEVERE WIND GUSTS...THOUGH A BRIEF TORNADO
  AND A FEW INSTANCES OF LARGE HAIL WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE. THE
  PRIMARY SEVERE WEATHER RISK AREA TONIGHT IS EXPECTED TO BE ALONG
  AND WEST OF U.S. 65.

  THERE WILL ALSO BE A LIMITED TO LOCALLY ELEVATED THREAT FOR
  FLOODING OVER FAR SOUTHWESTERN MISSOURI WHERE STORMS PRODUCING
  HEAVY RAINFALL MAY TRACK OVER THE SAME AREA.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

  PERIODIC CHANCES OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT THE
  OUTLOOK AREA SUNDAY INTO MONDAY. SEVERE STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE
  SUNDAY AFTERNOON...PARTICULARLY OVER THE EASTERN OZARKS NEAR THE
  HIGHWAY 19 AND 63 CORRIDORS.

  AN UNSETTLED WEATHER PATTERN MAY RETURN FOR THE MIDDLE AND END
  OF NEXT WEEK WITH SCATTERED THUNDERSTORM CHANCES.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

  SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED IN THE NEXT SIX HOURS FOR AREAS
  WEST OF INTERSTATE 49...AND AS FAR EAST AS HIGHWAY 65 DURING THE
  OVERNIGHT HOURS.

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