Wednesday, May 31, 2017

Elevated risk of hail, lightning, wind damage tonight in Southwest Missouri

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Springfield MO
1020 AM CDT Wed May 31 2017

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-011530-
Bourbon-Crawford-Cherokee-Benton-Morgan-Miller-Maries-Vernon-
St. Clair-Hickory-Camden-Pulaski-Phelps-Barton-Cedar-Polk-Dallas-
Laclede-Texas-Dent-Jasper-Dade-Greene-Webster-Wright-Newton-
Lawrence-Christian-Douglas-Howell-Shannon-McDonald-Barry-Stone-
Taney-Ozark-Oregon-
1020 AM CDT Wed May 31 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of the Missouri
Ozarks and extreme southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Weather hazards expected...

  Elevated Hail risk.
  Elevated Thunderstorm wind damage risk.
  Elevated Lightning risk.

DISCUSSION...

  An area of showers and isolated thunderstorms continue to track
  south across portions of southeastern Kansas and southwestern
  Missouri late this morning. This activity is weakening and no
  severe weather is expected. Occasional cloud to ground lightning
  strikes will occur with the storms before the completely
  diminishing around midday.

  Additional scattered thunderstorms will then develop this
  afternoon into this evening, especially north of the U.S. 60
  corridor. Some of these storms may become severe, with hail up
  to the size of ping pong balls, damaging wind gusts to 60 mph,
  and frequent lightning being the primary potential hazards. The
  greatest risk for severe storms will be west of U.S. 65 and
  north of U.S. 60.

  A complex of thunderstorms is then expected to develop late
  tonight and shift into portions of central Missouri. There
  is a limited risk for hail up to the size of quarters and
  damaging wind gusts to 60 mph as these storms shift
  southeast across central Missouri. Frequent lightning and
  brief heavy rainfall can also be expected with these storms.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

  Thunderstorms may persist into Thursday morning across the
  central and eastern Missouri Ozarks with a limited severe
  weather risk. Additional thunderstorms may then develop
  in the afternoon across portions of the Missouri Ozarks.

  More thunderstorms are then expected from later Friday into
  Saturday night or early Sunday as a storm system moves
  across the region.

  Chances for thunderstorms then look low for most of the
  outlook area for early next week.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

  Spotter activation may be needed for this afternoon and
  tonight, mainly west of U.S. 65 and north of U.S. 60.

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