Thursday, May 18, 2017

Significant lightning, elevated hail risk tonight for Joplin area

(From the National Weather Service)

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-200230-
Bourbon-Crawford-Cherokee-Benton-Morgan-Miller-Maries-Vernon-
St. Clair-Hickory-Camden-Pulaski-Phelps-Barton-Cedar-Polk-Dallas-
Laclede-Texas-Dent-Jasper-Dade-Greene-Webster-Wright-Newton-
Lawrence-Christian-Douglas-Howell-Shannon-McDonald-Barry-Stone-
Taney-Ozark-Oregon-
923 PM CDT Thu May 18 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of the Missouri
Ozarks and extreme southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Weather hazards expected...

  Limited Tornado risk.
  Elevated Hail risk.
  Elevated Thunderstorm wind damage risk.
  Elevated Flooding risk.
  Significant Lightning risk.

DISCUSSION...

  Thunderstorms will impact portions of extreme southeast Kansas
  and the Missouri Ozarks through the overnight hours. Winds up
  to 70 mph and hail up to the size of quarters will be possible
  with this activity. There will also be an isolated tornado
  risk with any line segments that can surge to the northeast
  generally along and west of Highway 65.

  Areas of heavy rain is likely tonight. Any training of storms
  may lead to localized flooding due to high water tables from
  previous excessive rainfall over the past couple of weeks.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

  Thunderstorms are expected to linger into early Friday and
  dissipate by late morning.

  Additional strong to severe thunderstorms are expected Friday
  evening into the overnight hours. Damaging wind gusts and large
  hail will be the primary risks with these storms as they
  continue into Saturday.

  Storms should come to an end from Saturday night into Sunday
  morning with storm total rainfall area wide of 1 to 3 inches.
  The heaviest rainfall amounts and better flooding potential is
  expected to occur over southeast Kansas and west central
  Missouri.

  Additional thunderstorms will return Monday night into Tuesday
  as another storm system moves in from the northwest.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

  Spotter activation may be needed through the overnight hours.

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