Wednesday, August 23, 2023

Missouri voters back Trump, show little middle ground on Hawley, new poll shows


By Rudi Keller

Former President Donald Trump is lapping his challengers among Missouri Republicans, Sen. Josh Hawley is the most polarizing politician in the state, and children shouldn’t discuss gender identity or sexual orientation in elementary school, a new poll released Wednesday suggests.

The latest St. Louis University/YouGov poll, which surveyed 900 likely Missouri voters from July 27 to Aug. 8, tests how Missourians rate major politicians and what issues concern them, and takes a deep dive into attitudes about policies governing education and LGBTQ youth.








The poll includes insights on how Missourians view new state laws barring transgender minors from receiving gender-affirming care, when it is appropriate to discuss gender identity and sexual orientation in schools.

More than two-thirds of respondents opposed such discussions in elementary schools, and a majority said it was inappropriate in middle schools. Among Democrats, younger voters, those with higher incomes and minority voters, more than 50% supported in-school discussion of gender identity and sexual orientation in middle schools.

A majority of respondents said those discussions were appropriate at the high school level and opposed school bans on books with stories about LGBTQ youth.

“Missouri voters have some pause, necessarily, bringing some discussion of sexual orientation or gender identity into the classroom,” said Steven Rogers, poll director and associate professor of political science at St. Louis University. “But one thing I think our poll nicely highlights is that there is refinement or nuance to that.”

The SLU/YouGov poll began in 2020, and surveys are conducted about every six months. The pollsters have asked the same or similar questions each time about the issues most concerning to Missourians. In the latest survey, as in each of the previous polls, the economy is the top issue, with almost no change in the level of concern. In 2020, 43% selected the economy as the top issue, and in the latest poll, the figure is 44%.

The poll also asks many traditional questions about how satisfied Missourians are with major politicians and institutions. Among the findings:Former President Donald Trump is favored for the 2024 GOP presidential nomination by 52% of respondents, with Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis a distant second at 17%.

Any Republican starts with a 15% edge over President Joe Biden for Missouri’s eight electoral votes, with the generic Republican favored by 50% of those polled. The respondents gave Biden a 38% approval rating, with 60% disapproving.

Congress received the worst rating of any major institution, with only 16% of those surveyed saying they approve or strongly approve of its work, and 74% saying they disapprove. In contrast, the Missouri General Assembly had a 46% approval rating, with 45% disapproval.

Gov. Mike Parson, Sens. Eric Schmitt and Hawley — Republicans — all had net positive approval ratings, although Schmitt and Hawley are within the polls’ 4% margin of error. Parson had the largest net approval, 49% to 43%. Schmitt, who was elected to his Senate seat in November, had a net 4% positive rating, 42%-38%. Hawley had a 2% net positive rating, with 47% approving and 45% disapproving.

Hawley had the smallest number of respondents who expressed no opinion — 8% of those surveyed — and the highest percentage of respondents who said they “strongly” approve or disapprove of him. Among those that back Hawley, 26% said they strongly approve of his performance. Meanwhile, 35% of respondents said they strongly disapprove.

Hawley’s effort to challenge the certification of Biden’s 2020 victory over Trump, his raised-fist salute to the demonstrators that later rioted on Jan. 6, 2021 and video showing him fleeing the riot later in the day have all contributed to the public’s polarized views on him, Rogers said.








“Similar to how Republicans are so disapproving of Joe Biden, when they have this very clear picture in their head of who Josh Hawley is, as people have a very clear picture in their head of who Joe Biden is, you may get these more extreme views,” Rogers said.

Trump, who is facing four criminal indictments in as many jurisdictions, has not been hurt so far by those legal troubles, Rogers said. That is also reflected in national polls, he said.

“Obviously, a lot can happen,” Rogers said. “But what we’re finding again, it’s consistent with what’s going on in the rest of the country.”

Among the findings on education, two data points are intriguing, Rogers said. A huge majority, 81%, support increasing teacher pay, but only 35%, would recommend teaching as a profession.

“That is something that’s kind of stood out to me,” he said. “Voters recognize that we have shortages in Missouri, or teachers aren’t being paid well enough. And that maybe being a teacher is not the most desirable job, even though it’s a very important job.”

7 comments:

  1. Anonymous10:38 AM

    This is hardly representative of, well, anything.

    900 people polled out of 6 million? Sample size is WAY too small to have any meaningful results.

    ReplyDelete
  2. Anonymous2:31 PM

    Would like to see a breakdown in this poll of education level of respondents. Most research is pointing to conspiracy believers as marginally educated and seeking a leader who tells them what to do. You see this in many church cults that suppress individual thought and focus on fear to control their minions. Its very clear there are several individuals who contribute to this blog who will support white nationalism and the orange maga bastard, even at the risk of losing their current Constitutionally endowed rights. The followers of Jim Jones, Hitler, and other autocratic societies could only wish to rewrite their histories. Pubs still have time.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Neosho10:37 PM

      Absolutely ridiculous comment.

      I would like to begin with your 100% inaccurate comment that rights are endowed by the US Constitution. The founders clearly stated that God endowed people with their rights, not men.

      Jim Jones: Obviously you don't know the political leanings of Jim Jones. Check his background while he and his followers were in San Francisco.

      First though, let's go back to 1961 when the Mayor of Indianapolis, a Democrat named Charles Boswell appointed Jim Jones to head the Indianapolis Human Rights Commission.

      The People's Temple campaigned to elect George Moscone, a Democrat as Mayor of SF, who in turn appointed Jones to the city’s Housing Authority Commission.

      Jim Jones and the People's Temple members were fervent Democrat Socialists who openly spoke about the benefits of Marxism.

      Willie Brown, California State Assembly Speaker was reported by a member of the temple comparing Jones to “Martin Luther King, Angela Davis, Albert Einstein and Chairman Mao".

      Harvey Milk.
      Jane Fonda.
      Jerry Brown.
      All supporters of Jim Jones.

      Jimmy Carter asked to meet with Jim Jones.
      Walter Mondale met with Jones.

      Bernie Sanders touts the wonders of Scandinavian countries practicing socialism, each of those countries are at least 90% white.

      As for Hitler...I'll just say that your knowledge about Hitler equals your knowledge about Jim Jones.

      You need a proper education about US history and the history of political parties in the US.

      Delete
  3. Anonymous6:31 AM

    Your part of the idiocracy 854 who needs to learn how to assimilate the information you read. He it is again at grade school level: It doesn't matter whether republican or Democrat, there will always be people who live out of fear and will only feel comfortable by being told what to do and are willing to lose it all to be a part of something, albeit even death. You're apparently part of that crowd 854. By the way, you can Google search the words you don't understand in this entry.

    ReplyDelete
  4. Anonymous12:56 PM

    How much manure can you spread in Missouri before you need a state license?

    (looking at 8:54 and wondering)

    ReplyDelete
  5. Anonymous1:02 PM

    Thoroughly entertained by the mugshots of the seditious deplorables. Lock them up!

    ReplyDelete
  6. Anonymous2:04 PM

    854 responding: not sure 1256, I don't usually take time in my busy day to consider such things as who is eligible to spread shit in missouri. I defer to your exemplary knowledge as I assume this to be a topic you have obviously mastered and in all likelihood, make your livelihood performing. Keep in mind, you can google search any words in this entry you don't comprehend. On a side note, I too, am finding a sense of satisfaction seeing todays extremist mugshots. Lock them all up!

    ReplyDelete