KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-281700- BOURBON-CRAWFORD-CHEROKEE-BENTON-MORGAN-MILLER-MARIES-VERNON- ST. CLAIR-HICKORY-CAMDEN-PULASKI-PHELPS-BARTON-CEDAR-POLK-DALLAS- LACLEDE-TEXAS-DENT-JASPER-DADE-GREENE-WEBSTER-WRIGHT-NEWTON- LAWRENCE-CHRISTIAN-DOUGLAS-HOWELL-SHANNON-MCDONALD-BARRY-STONE- TANEY-OZARK-OREGON- 1146 AM CDT THU MAR 27 2014 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE MISSOURI OZARKS AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. WEATHER HAZARDS EXPECTED... LIMITED TORNADO RISK. ELEVATED HAIL RISK. ELEVATED THUNDERSTORM WIND DAMAGE RISK. ELEVATED LIGHTNING RISK. ELEVATED NON THUNDERSTORM WIND RISK. DISCUSSION... STRONG SOUTH WINDS WILL OCCUR THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...AHEAD OF A STORM SYSTEM OVER THE PLAINS. WIND GUSTS OF 35 MPH TO AS HIGH AS 50 TO 55 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE. THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED OVER SOUTHEAST KANSAS INTO WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST MISSOURI WHERE A WIND ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM RISK WILL DEVELOP BY 3 TO 4 PM OVER SOUTHEAST KANSAS AND SPREAD EAST INTO THE REST OF THE OUTLOOK AREA LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING. A CAP OVER THE AREA WILL BEGIN TO WEAKEN AND BREAK AS A DRY LINE AND COLD FRONT MOVE INTO EASTERN KANSAS BY MID AFTERNOON. INITIALLY...DISCRETE STORMS...POTENTIALLY SUPERCELLS...WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH A LARGE HAIL RISK...DAMAGING WIND RISK...AND A SMALL RISK FOR TORNADOES OVER THE WESTERN PORTION OF THE OUTLOOK AREA. THE STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO TRANSITION INTO A LINE OR LINE SEGMENTS WITH THE MAIN STORM THREATS BECOMING DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL THIS EVENING OVER CENTRAL AND SOUTH CENTRAL MISSOURI. STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO EXIT THE REGION TO THE EAST BY 1 AM. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. A FEW THUNDERSTORMS MAY DEVELOP ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL MISSOURI LATE FRIDAY AND FRIDAY EVENING AS LOW PRESSURE MOVES THROUGH ARKANSAS. GUSTY SOUTH WINDS AND AN ELEVATED FIRE DANGER WILL BE POSSIBLE SUNDAY....ESPECIALLY OVER SOUTHEAST KANSAS AND WESTERN MISSOURI. THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE SUNDAY NIGHT AND EARLY MONDAY WITH A COLD FRONT. ANOTHER SYSTEM WILL BRING A CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY.
This blog features observations from Randy Turner, a former teacher, newspaper reporter and editor. Send news items or comments to rturner229@hotmail.com
Thursday, March 27, 2014
Severe thunderstorm risk this afternoon for Joplin area
(From the National Weather Service)
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