Thursday, October 02, 2014

Thunderstorms with damaging winds possible today for Joplin area

(From the National Weather Service)

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-030845-
BOURBON-CRAWFORD-CHEROKEE-BENTON-MORGAN-MILLER-MARIES-VERNON-
ST. CLAIR-HICKORY-CAMDEN-PULASKI-PHELPS-BARTON-CEDAR-POLK-DALLAS-
LACLEDE-TEXAS-DENT-JASPER-DADE-GREENE-WEBSTER-WRIGHT-NEWTON-
LAWRENCE-CHRISTIAN-DOUGLAS-HOWELL-SHANNON-MCDONALD-BARRY-STONE-
TANEY-OZARK-OREGON-
331 AM CDT THU OCT 2 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE MISSOURI
OZARKS AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

WEATHER HAZARDS EXPECTED...

  LIMITED TORNADO RISK.
  ELEVATED HAIL RISK.
  ELEVATED THUNDERSTORM WIND DAMAGE RISK.
  ELEVATED FLOODING RISK.
  SIGNIFICANT LIGHTNING RISK.

DISCUSSION...

  THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE TO DEVELOP AND PUSH INTO CENTRAL MISSOURI
  AND PARTS OF EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS AND WESTERN MISSOURI
  THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS. THESE STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF
  PRODUCING DAMAGING THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 60
  MPH...HAIL TO THE SIZE OF HALF DOLLARS.

  A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION LATER TODAY AND
  THIS EVENING. THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP A LONG THE FRONT...WITH
  A FEW SUPERCELL THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE INTO THE EARLY AFTERNOON
  HOURS. A LINE OR BROKEN LINE OF STORMS WILL THEN DEVELOP LATE
  THIS AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING AND WILL RACE EAST. LARGE
  HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF GOLF BALLS...DAMAGING WIND GUSTS UP TO 65
  MPH...AND ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL ALL BE POSSIBLE WITH THE MORE
  INTENSE STORMS.

  WITH MULTIPLE ROUNDS OF STORMS POSSIBLE TODAY AND THIS
  EVENING...THERE IS A CONTINUED RISK FOR FLASH FLOODING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

  A MUCH COLDER AIR MASS WILL MOVE INTO THE MISSOURI OZARKS
  FRIDAY NIGHT WITH TEMPERATURES DOWN INTO THE MIDDLE AND UPPER
  30S. THERE WILL BE A RISK FOR PATCHY FROST LATE FRIDAY NIGHT
  INTO EARLY SATURDAY MORNING MAINLY IN VALLEYS AND PROTECTED
  AREAS. ANYONE WITH SENSITIVE OUTDOOR PLANTS WILL NEED TO PAY
  ATTENTION TO THE FORECAST FRIDAY NIGHT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

  SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED LATER TODAY FOR AREAS WEST OF
  HIGHWAY 65 AND THIS EVENING FOR AREAS EAST OF HIGHWAY 65.

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