KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-021830- BOURBON-CRAWFORD-CHEROKEE-BENTON-MORGAN-MILLER-MARIES-VERNON- ST. CLAIR-HICKORY-CAMDEN-PULASKI-PHELPS-BARTON-CEDAR-POLK-DALLAS- LACLEDE-TEXAS-DENT-JASPER-DADE-GREENE-WEBSTER-WRIGHT-NEWTON- LAWRENCE-CHRISTIAN-DOUGLAS-HOWELL-SHANNON-MCDONALD-BARRY-STONE- TANEY-OZARK-OREGON- 127 PM CDT TUE APR 1 2014 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE MISSOURI OZARKS AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. WEATHER HAZARDS EXPECTED... LIMITED HAIL RISK. SIGNIFICANT LIGHTNING RISK. DISCUSSION... SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP ALONG A LINE AND PUSH NORTH AND AFFECT LOCATIONS GENERALLY ALONG AND NORTH OF THE INTERSTATE 44 CORRIDOR THIS AFTERNOON INTO EARLY THIS EVENING. THE MAIN THREAT FROM ANY STORMS WILL BE SCATTERED LIGHTNING STRIKES AND SMALL HAIL. THIS ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO PUSH NORTH AND OUT OF THE AREA EARLY THIS EVENING. A CLUSTER OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IS THEN EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ACROSS EASTERN KANSAS LATE TONIGHT. THIS ACTIVITY IS THEN EXPECTED TO SHIFT EAST INTO PORTIONS OF EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN KANSAS AND WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI. A FEW OF THESE STORMS MAY CONTAIN HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF QUARTERS... GENERALLY ALONG AND NORTH OF A NEOSHO TO VICHY MISSOURI LINE LATE TONIGHT. FREQUENT LIGHTNING STRIKES CAN ALSO BE EXPECTED WITH THIS THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MAY THEN PERSIST INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING ACROSS CENTRAL MISSOURI. THE MAIN THREAT FROM THESE STORMS WILL BE HAIL TO THE SIZE OF QUARTERS...FREQUENT LIGHTNING...AND BRIEF HEAVY RAINFALL. ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY MAY THEN DEVELOP FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON INTO WEDNESDAY EVENING FROM NORTHEASTERN KANSAS INTO SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS. THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR A FEW OF THESE STORMS TO TRACK INTO EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN KANSAS AND FAR WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI WEDNESDAY EVENING. IF THIS OCCURS...HAIL TO THE SIZE OF HALF DOLLARS...WIND GUSTS TO 60 MPH...AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING WILL ALL BE POSSIBLE. INDICATIONS ARE THAT ANOTHER CLUSTER OF THUNDERSTORMS MAY THEN DEVELOP ACROSS AT LEAST PORTIONS OF THE OUTLOOK AREA FROM LATER WEDNESDAY EVENING INTO WEDNESDAY NIGHT. AT THIS TIME...THERE REMAINS HIGH UNCERTAINTY AS TO WHERE THIS CLUSTER OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP AND TRACK. LOCATIONS THAT ARE IMPACTED BY THIS THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL SEE A RISK FOR HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF QUARTERS...FREQUENT LIGHTNING...AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL. A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL THEN TRACK FROM NORTHERN OKLAHOMA INTO NORTHERN OR CENTRAL MISSOURI ON THURSDAY. THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP DURING THE DAY ON THURSDAY ALONG A COLD FRONT TRAILING FROM THIS LOW. INSTABILITY AND WIND SHEAR WILL SUPPORT AN ELEVATED THREAT FOR SEVERE STORMS ACROSS MOST OF THE OUTLOOK AREA. THE THREAT FOR SEVERE STORMS WILL THEN END FROM WEST TO EAST FROM LATER THURSDAY INTO THURSDAY EVENING AS THE COLD FRONT SWEEPS EAST ACROSS THE REGION. IN ADDITION TO THE THREAT FOR STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS INTO THURSDAY...SOUTHERLY NON THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS AROUND 30 MPH CAN ALSO BE EXPECTED.
This blog features observations from Randy Turner, a former teacher, newspaper reporter and editor. Send news items or comments to rturner229@hotmail.com
Tuesday, April 01, 2014
Thunderstorms, significant lightning risk tonight for Joplin area
(From the National Weather Service)
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