Saturday, December 26, 2015

Strong to severe thunderstorms possible today, snow Monday

(From the National Weather Service)

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
404 AM CST SAT DEC 26 2015

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-271015-
BOURBON-CRAWFORD-CHEROKEE-BENTON-MORGAN-MILLER-MARIES-VERNON-
ST. CLAIR-HICKORY-CAMDEN-PULASKI-PHELPS-BARTON-CEDAR-POLK-DALLAS-
LACLEDE-TEXAS-DENT-JASPER-DADE-GREENE-WEBSTER-WRIGHT-NEWTON-
LAWRENCE-CHRISTIAN-DOUGLAS-HOWELL-SHANNON-MCDONALD-BARRY-STONE-
TANEY-OZARK-OREGON-
404 AM CST SAT DEC 26 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE MISSOURI
OZARKS AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

WEATHER HAZARDS EXPECTED...

  LIMITED TORNADO RISK.
  LIMITED HAIL RISK.
  LIMITED THUNDERSTORM WIND DAMAGE RISK.
  SIGNIFICANT FLOODING RISK.
  LIMITED LIGHTNING RISK.
  LIMITED NON THUNDERSTORM WIND RISK.

DISCUSSION...

  A SIGNIFICANT FLOOD EVENT IS EXPECTED TO UNFOLD ACROSS THE
  REGION TODAY THROUGH MONDAY. HEAVY RAIN WILL CONTINUE TO EXPAND
  ACROSS THE OUTLOOK AREA TODAY...WITH THE HEAVIEST TOTALS
  FOCUSED ALONG THE INTERSTATE 44 CORRIDOR. SIGNIFICANT FLASH
  FLOODING AND RIVER FLOODING IS EXPECTED...ESPECIALLY STARTING
  LATER TODAY INTO TONIGHT. AREAS THAT DO NOT NORMALLY FLOOD
  COULD EXPERIENCE FLOODING DURING THIS EVENT. FOR SOME LOCATIONS
  ACROSS SOUTHERN AND SOUTHWESTERN MISSOURI...FLOODING COULD
  EXCEED THAT SEEN DURING THE SPRING 2008 AND 2011 FLOODS.

  IN ADDITION TO HEAVY RAIN...A FEW STRONG TO SEVERE
  THUNDERSTORMS WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE TODAY...MAINLY OVER
  SOUTHERN MISSOURI. HAIL TO THE SIZE OF QUARTERS...WIND GUSTS TO
  60 MPH...AND A BRIEF SPIN UP TORNADO OR TWO WILL BE POSSIBLE.
  THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT WILL BE CONDITIONAL ON THE AMOUNT OF
  INSTABILITY THAT CAN DEVELOP.

  NORTH TO NORTHEAST SURFACE WINDS WILL START TO GUST TO BETWEEN
  30 AND 35 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT OVER FAR SOUTHEASTERN
  KANSAS AND WESTERN MISSOURI.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

  HEAVY RAIN WILL CONTINUE SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT ACROSS MUCH OF
  THE REGION. STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES CAN
  BE EXPECTED...WITH THE HEAVIEST AMOUNTS ACROSS THE
  INTERSTATE 44 CORRIDOR. IN ADDITION TO FLASH FLOODING...MANY
  RIVERS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH AT LEAST MODERATE FLOOD STAGE BY
  SUNDAY...WITH SEVERAL RIVER POINTS REACHING MAJOR OR EVEN
  RECORD FLOOD STAGE. THOSE WITH INTERESTS ALONG OR NEAR AREA
  RIVERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REMAIN ALERT FOR THE LATEST RIVER
  FORECASTS AND FLOOD WARNINGS.

  LIGHT SNOW MAY MIX IN WITH RAIN AS THIS STORM SYSTEM EXITS THE
  AREA MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT. NO WINTER WEATHER IMPACTS ARE
  EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

  SPOTTER ACTIVATION COULD BE NEEDED LATER TODAY OVER SOUTHERN
  MISSOURI.

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