Monday, March 06, 2017

Elevated tornado risk tonight for Joplin area

(From the National Weather Service)

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Springfield MO
306 PM CST Mon Mar 6 2017

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-072115-
Bourbon-Crawford-Cherokee-Benton-Morgan-Miller-Maries-Vernon-
St. Clair-Hickory-Camden-Pulaski-Phelps-Barton-Cedar-Polk-Dallas-
Laclede-Texas-Dent-Jasper-Dade-Greene-Webster-Wright-Newton-
Lawrence-Christian-Douglas-Howell-Shannon-McDonald-Barry-Stone-
Taney-Ozark-Oregon-
306 PM CST Mon Mar 6 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of the Missouri
Ozarks and extreme southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.

Weather hazards expected...

  Elevated Tornado Risk.
  Elevated Hail Risk.
  Elevated Thunderstorm Wind Damage Risk.
  Significant Lightning Risk.
  Elevated Non Thunderstorm Wind Risk.

DISCUSSION...

  Strong southerly sustained winds of 20 to 30 MPH with gusts of
  35 to 45 MPH will continue into early evening across western
  portion of the outlook area.

  An initial wave of thunderstorms will be possible early this
  evening across the western part of the region between 6 PM and 9
  PM. Additional thunderstorms will then form along an advancing
  cold front, and will sweep across the entire area from mid
  evening tonight through the pre dawn hours on Tuesday morning.
  This line is currently expected to affect areas along and north
  of Interstate 44 between 9 PM and midnight, and areas south of
  Interstate 44 between midnight and 4 AM.

  All modes of severe weather will be possible, including large
  hail, wind gusts to 70 MPH, and tornadoes.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

  Behind the frontal passage, a mild and very dry air mass will
  return to the region Tuesday. Elevated to significant fire
  weather conditions will be possible Tuesday and to a lesser
  extent on Wednesday. A Red Flag Warning has been issued for
  areas along and north of the Interstate 44 corridor for Tuesday.

  Thunderstorms will again be possible late in the week into the
  first part of the weekend as a front sets up in the region.

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